PotFPL Analysis · GW35–38 Run-In

Wildcard GW35
Strategy Hub

Data-driven analysis for the final four gameweeks. DGW36 confirmed for Man City & Crystal Palace. Arsenal vs Man City neck-and-neck for the title.

DGW36: City + Palace Burned: Wolves & Burnley Title: ARS 73pts vs MCI 71pts Rel Battle: Spurs (34) vs WHU (36)
Chip Strategy Paths
1
WC35 → BB36 (Volume)
Wildcard GW35, Bench Boost in DGW36. Maximise doublers — 6 players score twice. Best for rank gain.
BEST VOLUME BB36
2
WC35 → TC36 (Ceiling)
Wildcard GW35, Triple Captain Haaland in DGW36. Ceiling play — Haaland could score 3x in his double. High risk/reward.
CEILING PLAY TC36
3
WC35 → BB37 (Alt Path)
Wildcard GW35, save Bench Boost for GW37 where Man City visit Brentford and better single-GW fixtures abound.
ALT PATH BB37
4
No Chip (Free Transfers Only)
For managers who played WC32 + BB33 + FH34. Surgical FT usage to pivot into DGW36 doublers from existing squad.
NO CHIP FT ONLY
WC35 Squad Selector
👆 Click a player card to see detailed analysis, stats, and selection rationale
C Captain  TC Triple Captain  2x DGW36  CL Conference League
DefCon Ratings (Last 5 GWs)

Defensive Contribution metric — combines CS points + saves + bonus. Higher = more FPL defensive output. Threshold for regular returns: ~10+.

Man City
42
Last 5 GW
Arsenal
51
Last 5 GW
Crystal Palace
38
Last 5 GW
Liverpool
47
Last 5 GW
Brighton
34
Last 5 GW
Leeds Utd
36
Last 5 GW
Nottm Forest
41
Last 5 GW
Everton
35
Last 5 GW
Brentford
27
Last 5 GW
West Ham
25
Last 5 GW
Chelsea
31
Last 5 GW
Fulham
26
Last 5 GW

⚠️ Key Insight: O'Reilly (MCI, DEF) has registered DEFCON 10,11,10,10 in last 4 GWs — consistently approaching the threshold. Arsenal's Gabriel leads all defenders in raw DefCon output this season. Van Dijk (LIV) outperforms Struijk in pure DefCon metrics.

Captaincy Guide: GW35–38
🎯 GW35
C
Haaland
MCI vs EVE (H)
VC
B. Fernandes
MUN vs LIV (H)
DIFF
Thiago / DCL
BRE(H) / LEE vs BUR
Haaland back-to-back scorer, Everton concede 2+ in last 2. If LIV fixture puts you off Bruno, Thiago has huge upside home vs West Ham.
🎯 GW36 DGW
TC/C
Haaland
MCI vs BRE(H) + CRY(H)
VC
O'Reilly
MCI vs BRE(H) + CRY(H)
DIFF
Cherki
MCI 2× diff
TC ceiling: Haaland 2 games = 14+ pts potential, triple him = 21-28 ceiling. O'Reilly is the lower-owned TC punt. Both City home games make any City starter elite captaincy.
🎯 GW37
C
B. Fernandes
MUN vs WHU (H)
VC
Haaland
MCI vs BOU (A)
DIFF
Bowen
WHU vs MUN (A)
Bruno at Old Trafford vs struggling West Ham. WHU travel to OT in desperate relegation fight — Man Utd motivation high. Haaland vs Bournemouth also strong return potential.
🎯 GW38
C
Haaland
MCI vs AVL (H)
VC
B. Fernandes
MUN vs BRE (H)
DIFF
Bowen
WHU vs ? (season finale)
Final day — if title still alive, Haaland will be first-choice. Villa have Europa League motivation but City at home is the strongest end-of-season captaincy candidate.
GW35–38 Full Fixture Grid
Team GW35 (1-4 May) GW36 DGW (9-13 May) GW37 (17-18 May) GW38 (24 May) Europe?

FDR colour: 1=Easy 2=Good 3=Med 4=Hard 5=Brutal | DGW = Double Gameweek | * Palace & City double in GW36

Premier League Table (After GW34)
#TeamPWDLGDPtsFormStatusFPL Motivation

Burnley & Wolves already relegated. Third spot between Spurs (34pts) & West Ham (36pts). Arsenal lead City by 2pts entering the final 4 GWs.

Run-In Context
🏆Title Race
Arsenal 73pts (P34) — 2pt lead, FUL(H) GW35
Man City 71pts (P33) — game in hand, EVE(A) GW35
City have DGW36 = huge pts opportunity to leapfrog
Arsenal GW38: CRY(A) — cagey if both need points
🔵UCL Race (Pos 2-4)
Man Utd 61pts — 3rd, LIV(H) GW35 big game
Liverpool 58pts — 4th, MUN(A) GW35 must-win
Aston Villa 58pts — 5th, TH (A) GW35
All 3 separated by 3pts — explosive run-in likely
🟠Europa League (5-6)
Brighton 54pts — fighting hard for 5th-6th
Chelsea 51pts — NEW(H) GW35
Brighton vs Newcastle key for European ambitions
Everton lurking at 7th — cup spot still possible
🟣Conference League
Crystal Palace — UECL SF 2nd leg 7 May vs Shakhtar
Palace Final 28 May if they qualify — Glasner: NO rotation policy stated
DGW36: Palace vs EVE(H) + MCI(A) — CL risk for away leg
Avoidance: Palace midfielders/forwards = CONF risk DGW36
🔴Relegation Battle
Burnley — RELEGATED
Wolves — RELEGATED
Spurs 34pts (18th) — first win of 2026 finally in GW34
West Ham 36pts (17th) — 2pt buffer, desperate football
Spurs vs Villa GW35 = enormous relegation six-pointer
🏥Key Injuries / Doubts
Salah — injury doubt from GW34, uncertain return
Havertz — muscular niggle GW34, likely out GW35
Eze — returned from injury, fit but rotation risk
Xavi Simons — OUT for season (knee)
Solanke — miss GW35, Spurs
H2H Records — Key GW35 Matchups
Arsenal vs Fulham (H)
Last 6 H2H at Emirates: W5 D1 L0
Avg goals scored: 2.8/game at home vs Fulham
Fulham: 0 goals in last 3 away to top-4 sides
✅ Gabriel CS probability: ~55%
Man City vs Everton (A→H)
City last 5 vs Everton: W5 — avg 3.2 goals scored
Note: GW35 City travel to Everton (Hill Dickinson)
Haaland: 7G in last 5 City vs Everton appearances
✅ Haaland captaincy tier-1 GW35
Man Utd vs Liverpool (H)
Old Trafford last 5 vs Liverpool: W2 D1 L2
Bruno scores/assists in 3 of last 5 vs Liverpool
Both teams need UCL qualification — goals likely
⚠️ High-scoring affair = both GK/DEF risky
Leeds vs Burnley (H)
Burnley already relegated, DCL scored vs them earlier this season
Leeds home W5 in last 6 — massive motivation (safety)
Struijk/Van Dijk: Leeds defence vs relegated team
✅ DCL + Leeds DEF prime GW35 picks
Brentford vs West Ham (H)
Last 5 H2H: Brentford W3 D1 L1
Thiago (BRE): 3G 1A in last 4 home games
West Ham desperate (relegation) = open game possible
✅ Thiago captaincy differential GW35
Aston Villa vs Spurs (H)
Villa home vs bottom clubs: W7 in last 9 seasons
Spurs: 1 win in 2026 PL until GW34 — fragile
Rogers (Villa): TOT(H) = prime set-up fixture
✅ Rogers / Watkins excellent vs Spurs
Path 4: No Chip (WC32+BB33+FH34 Managers)

If you've burned all chips, the objective is surgical FT use to maximise DGW36. Aim to convert 2-3 players into City/Palace doublers over GW35-36 using rolled transfers.

GW35 (1 FT)

⬆️ Haaland (if not owned)
⬇️ Non-returner OUT

Priority: Lock Haaland for TC/C GW36. Roll if already owned.

GW36 (2 FT if rolled)

⬆️ O'Reilly (MCI DGW)
⬆️ Munoz / Palace DEF
⬇️ 2× single GW assets

TC Haaland if available. Else captain Haaland normally.

GW37 (1-2 FT)

⬆️ Rogers / Bowen
⬇️ Palace DGW asset OUT

Brighton (WOL H), Villa (NFO H), Man Utd (WHU H) good GW37 fixtures.

GW38 (1 FT)

⬆️ Final day premium
⬇️ Weakest asset

If title race alive: Haaland/O'Reilly (City H AVL). If consolidated: comfort captain your best attacker.